![]() Only two weeks ago, Mali’s junta asked the U.N. Putin is unlikely to want to forego the strong ties Russia has built up in Francophone Africa following a souring of relations with France. At the same time, Russia’s Foreign Affairs Minister Sergey Lavrov said in an interview with Russian television RT that there would be no changes in CAR or Mali, whose governments “have official contacts with our leadership.” He said Russian soldiers working in CAR as “instructors” would continue. In an audio message posted on Telegram Monday, Prigozhin did not seem to be giving up or disbanding. ![]() On Saturday, the Kremlin hinted at the dissolution of the group, but experts say the likelihood of this is relatively unknown because of Wagner’s autonomy and independent network of businesses in CAR, Mali, and Sudan. Wagner has an estimated 5,000 soldiers stationed across Africa. The retreat by Wagner has led to speculation about what a Wagner-Kremlin decoupling could mean for the group’s operations in Africa, where it supports governments and fills a security vacuum in the Central African Republic (CAR), Libya, Mali, and Sudan. Russian President Vladimir Putin called the mutiny a “stab in the back” and “treason” before accepting Lukashenko’s deal. Over the weekend, Prigozhin announced a march on Moscow to seek out the heads of the Russian defense ministry and military. Yevgeny Prigozhin, the leader of Russian mercenary group Wagner, has gone into exile in Belarus following an abandoned insurrection, via a deal apparently brokered by Belarusian President Aleksandr Lukashenko. How Will Wagner Group’s Revolt Impact Its Africa Contracts?
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